UMH Properties (UMH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$15.41
0.08 (0.52%)
▲
5d:
+0.06%
30d:
-4.05%
90d:
+0.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UMH is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: UMH is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $15.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.40 to $16.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 100.1) is in line with its historical norms (99.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UMH scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+22.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UMH scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+22.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$15.40 -
$16.21
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.5% below Wall St target ($18.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.40 -
$16.21
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.09
Resistance Level
$15.97
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
100.06
Wall Street Target
$18.88
(+22.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.7%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
100.1 vs 99.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.43
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$15.44
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$15.46
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 100→100)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 100.1, Growth: 1.3%)
$16.03
(+4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 1.3%)
$3.27
(-79%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 1.3%)
$2.78
(-82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (143x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (100x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 142.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.11
Bull Case
$18.61
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 150.0
Base Case
$15.41
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 142.9
Bear Case
$11.79
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 128.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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