UMH Properties (UMH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$15.51
-0.03 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
-2.76%
30d:
-4.79%
90d:
+1.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
Get Alerted When UMH Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UMH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UMH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $15.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.74 to $16.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 100.7) is in line with its historical norms (99.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UMH scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+21.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UMH scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+21.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.74 -
$16.55
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($18.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.74 -
$16.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.44
Resistance Level
$16.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
100.71
Wall Street Target
$18.88
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.7%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
100.7 vs 99.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.56
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$15.60
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$15.65
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 101→100)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 100.7, Growth: 1.3%)
$16.13
(+4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 1.3%)
$3.23
(-79%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 1.3%)
$2.75
(-82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (143x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (101x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 142.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.11
Bull Case
$18.73
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 150.0
Base Case
$15.51
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 142.9
Bear Case
$11.87
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 128.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Residential Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Residential by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVB
AvalonBay Communities Inc |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$201 | 68 BUY |
|
MAA
Mid-America Apartment Co… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$143 | 30 SELL |
|
ESS
Essex Property Trust Inc |
HOLD
27 analysts |
$304 | 45 HOLD |
|
EQR
Equity Residential |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$73 | 47 HOLD |
|
CPT
Camden Property Trust |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$117 | 40 SELL |