UMH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$15.27
0.16 (1.06%)
▲
5d:
-1.61%
30d:
-1.61%
90d:
-2.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UMH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UMH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $15.27, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.24 to $15.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 88.5) compared to its historical average (100.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.12 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.12 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$15.24 -
$15.62
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.2% below Wall St target ($19.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.24 -
$15.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.04
Resistance Level
$15.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
88.52
Wall Street Target
$19.13
(+25.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.2%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
88.5 vs 100.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.66
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$14.07
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$13.51
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 89→100)
$15.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 88.5, Growth: 23.2%)
$28.56
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 23.2%)
$6.69
(-56%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 23.2%)
$5.69
(-63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (127x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (89x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 126.58 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.12
Bull Case
$18.44
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 132.9
Base Case
$15.27
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 126.6
Bear Case
$11.68
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 113.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 88.5 to 100.0
Stabilization Target:
$17.25
(+13.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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