UMH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$15.37
-0.04 (-0.26%)
▼
5d:
-0.26%
30d:
+1.05%
90d:
+0.33%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UMH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UMH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $15.37, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.10 to $15.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 89.1) compared to its historical average (100.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UMH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.12 (+24.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UMH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.12 (+24.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$15.10 -
$15.40
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.4% below Wall St target ($19.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.10 -
$15.40
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.74
Resistance Level
$15.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
89.10
Wall Street Target
$19.13
(+24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.2%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
89.1 vs 100.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.74
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$14.14
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$13.56
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 89→101)
$15.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 89.1, Growth: 23.2%)
$28.75
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.2%)
$7.03
(-54%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.2%)
$5.97
(-61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (127x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (89x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 126.58 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.12
Bull Case
$18.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 132.9
Base Case
$15.37
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 126.6
Bear Case
$11.76
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 113.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 89.1 to 100.9
Stabilization Target:
$17.41
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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