UMH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$16.51
-0.09 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+0.36%
30d:
+7.21%
90d:
+6.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UMH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UMH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $16.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.36 to $16.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 107.8) is in line with its historical norms (99.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UMH scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+13.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UMH scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+13.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.36 -
$16.27
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.36 -
$16.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.46
Resistance Level
$16.74
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
107.79
Wall Street Target
$18.88
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.7%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
107.8 vs 99.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.06
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$17.54
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$18.03
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 108→99)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 107.8, Growth: 1.3%)
$17.26
(+4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 1.3%)
$3.21
(-81%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 1.3%)
$2.73
(-84%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (135x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (108x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 135.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.12
Bull Case
$19.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 141.9
Base Case
$16.51
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 135.1
Bear Case
$12.63
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 121.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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