UMH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$15.23
0.26 (1.74%)
▲
5d:
+1.26%
30d:
-1.42%
90d:
+6.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UMH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UMH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $15.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.97 to $15.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 86.8) compared to its historical average (102.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.74, while resistance sits at $15.73.
Market Sentiment: UMH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.43 (+29.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.74, while resistance sits at $15.73.
Market Sentiment: UMH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.43 (+29.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.97 -
$15.40
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.8% below Wall St target ($19.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.97 -
$15.40
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.74
Resistance Level
$15.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
86.78
Wall Street Target
$19.43
(+29.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.2%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
86.8 vs 102.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.18
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$13.43
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$12.71
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 87→102)
$14.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 86.8, Growth: 23.2%)
$28.00
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.2%)
$7.03
(-53%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.2%)
$5.97
(-60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (125x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (87x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 125.00 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.12
Bull Case
$18.08
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 131.3
Base Case
$14.97
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 125.0
Bear Case
$11.45
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 112.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 86.8 to 102.2
Stabilization Target:
$17.63
(+17.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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