UMH Properties (UMH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$15.47
0.02 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
+0.98%
90d:
-0.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UMH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UMH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $15.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.17 to $15.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 100.5) is in line with its historical norms (99.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $15.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UMH scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+22.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $15.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UMH scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.88 (+22.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.17 -
$15.62
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($18.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.17 -
$15.62
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.94
Resistance Level
$15.55
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
100.45
Wall Street Target
$18.88
(+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.7%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
100.5 vs 99.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.50
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$15.53
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$15.56
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 100→100)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 100.5, Growth: 1.3%)
$16.09
(+4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.3%)
$3.18
(-79%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 1.3%)
$2.70
(-83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (143x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (100x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 142.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.11
Bull Case
$18.68
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 150.0
Base Case
$15.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 142.9
Bear Case
$11.83
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 128.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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