UMH Properties (UMH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$14.90
+0.16 (+1.09%)
▲
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
-2.74%
90d:
-8.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (56%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$14.97 – $15.39
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
128.5x
STRETCHED
vs 99.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$18.50
+24.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$14.34 / $15.69
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UMH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $14.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.97 to $15.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 128.4) compared to its historical average (99.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.34, while resistance sits at $15.69.
Market Sentiment: UMH scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+24.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.34, while resistance sits at $15.69.
Market Sentiment: UMH scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+24.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.97 -
$15.39
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.97 -
$15.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$14.34
Resistance Level
$15.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($18.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
128.45
Wall Street Target
$18.50
(+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.7%
Profit Margin
9.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.8% premium
PE vs Historical
128.5 vs 99.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.21
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$17.64
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$19.19
(+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 128→100)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.91
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 128.4, Growth: 38.1%)
$39.24
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 38.1%)
$6.07
(-59%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 38.1%)
$5.16
(-65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 74.63 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.20
Bull Case
$17.99
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 78.4
Base Case
$14.90
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 74.6
Bear Case
$11.40
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 67.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UMH)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 19, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $UMH, with users expressing confidence in trailers as a way to bet amid rising housing costs. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
housing costs
trailers
investment in $UMH
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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