Upland Software (UPLD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UPLD - Upland Software, Inc.
$3.37
0.56 (19.93%)
â˛
5d:
-6.39%
30d:
-11.43%
90d:
-31.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UPLD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -20.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UPLD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -20.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.16
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.83
11.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UPLD is currently trading at $3.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.19 to $3.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.5) compared to its historical average (1.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPLD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.75, while resistance sits at $4.08. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 19.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+270.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPLD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.75, while resistance sits at $4.08. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 19.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+270.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$3.19 -
$3.74
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding UPLD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+19.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 270.9% below Wall St target ($12.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.19 -
$3.74
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.75
Resistance Level
$4.08
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.53
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+270.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Profit Margin
-18.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.5 vs 1.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.46
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1â1)
$4.62
(+37%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -5.0%)
$107.79
(+3099%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.5, Growth: -5.0%)
$2.89
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.5, Growth: -5.0%)
$2.45
(-27%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.5 to 1.0
Stabilization Target:
$6.34
(+88.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+88.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 17, 2026 7:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UPLD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced UPLD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UPLD price and gamma walls.
