Upland Software (UPLD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3.08
-0.70 (-18.52%)
▼
5d:
-34.47%
30d:
-1.28%
90d:
-49.51%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$3.27 – $4.08
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
0.7x
CHEAP
vs 1.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$6.00
+58.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$2.88 / $4.74
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: UPLD is down 34.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.46
Based on -8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UPLD is currently trading at $3.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.27 to $4.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.7) compared to its historical average (1.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPLD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.88, while resistance sits at $4.74. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 18.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: UPLD scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+58.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPLD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.88, while resistance sits at $4.74. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 18.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: UPLD scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+58.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.27 -
$4.08
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.27 -
$4.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$2.88
Resistance Level
$4.74
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding UPLD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-18.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.7% below Wall St target ($6.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.70
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(+58.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Profit Margin
-18.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.7 vs 1.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.06
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.76
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$3.92
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -20.1%)
$77.89
(+1961%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.7, Growth: -20.1%)
$2.76
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.6, Growth: -20.1%)
$2.34
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.7 to 1.0
Stabilization Target:
$5.38
(+42.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UPLD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Traders on StockTwits express a bullish outlook on $UPLD, with some suggesting coordinated buying and anticipating price increases. No recent news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Coordinated buying
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UPLD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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