USA COMPRESSION PARTNERS LP (USAC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USAC - USA COMPRESSION PARTNERS LP
$25.02
-0.15 (-0.60%)
▼
5d:
+0.56%
30d:
-3.14%
90d:
-5.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: USAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: USAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.51
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USAC is currently trading at $25.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.08 to $26.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: USAC scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.80 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: USAC scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.80 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$25.08 -
$26.11
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.08 -
$26.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.40
Resistance Level
$26.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.37
Wall Street Target
$29.80
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.9%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.67
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.32
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.98
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$24.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.5%)
$47.21
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 13.5%)
$36.55
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 13.5%)
$31.06
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$42.51
(+70%)
Analyst growth 53.5%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$38.65
(+55%)
Market implied 53.5%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$17.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$26.04
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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