USA COMPRESSION PARTNERS LP (USAC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USAC - USA COMPRESSION PARTNERS LP
$25.42
0.15 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
-0.47%
30d:
-7.46%
90d:
-0.35%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: USAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: USAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.51
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.39
3.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USAC is currently trading at $25.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.60 to $27.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: USAC scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+18.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USAC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: USAC scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+18.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$25.60 -
$27.35
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.60 -
$27.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.72
Resistance Level
$26.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.28
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.9%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.99
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$24.56
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$24.15
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$25.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 15.5%)
$52.30
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 15.5%)
$39.17
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 15.5%)
$33.29
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$42.94
(+70%)
Analyst growth 57.0%, PE expands to 25.8
Base Case
$39.04
(+55%)
Market implied 57.0%, PE stable at 23.5
Bear Case
$16.91
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$26.79
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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