USA COMPRESSION PARTNERS LP (USAC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

USAC - USA COMPRESSION PARTNERS LP

NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION
$27.64
-0.13 (-0.47%) ▼
5d: +0.29%
30d: +4.3%
90d: -2.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: USAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.51
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.39
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: USAC is currently trading at $27.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.17 to $27.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, USAC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $26.17 - $27.36
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.17 - $27.36
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.55
Resistance Level $27.93
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.61
Wall Street Target $30.00 (+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.9%
Profit Margin 12.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.0% premium
PE vs Historical 16.6 vs 16.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $27.92 (+1%)
2-Year Target $28.20 (+2%)
3-Year Target $28.48 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→16) PE COMPRESSION $27.60 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.5%) $51.71 (+87%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 15.5%) $42.59 (+54%)
Bear: (PE: 14.1, Growth: 15.5%) $36.20 (+31%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.07
Bull Case $47.50 (+72%)
Analyst growth 55.5%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case $43.18 (+56%)
Market implied 55.5%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case $18.88 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:31 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Net
NEUTRAL

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