USNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USNA - USANA Health Sciences Inc
$22.84
0.73 (3.30%)
▲
5d:
+2.24%
30d:
+6.18%
90d:
+18.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: USNA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: USNA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.13
15.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USNA is currently trading at $22.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.11 to $22.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USNA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.50, while resistance sits at $23.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+70.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USNA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.50, while resistance sits at $23.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+70.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.11 -
$22.58
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.8% below Wall St target ($39.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 0.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.11 -
$22.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.50
Resistance Level
$23.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.25
Wall Street Target
$39.00
(+70.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.6%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.95
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$23.07
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.18
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.78
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 30.7%)
$128.09
(+461%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 30.7%)
$50.95
(+123%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 30.7%)
$43.31
(+90%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.50
Bull Case
$48.64
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.6
Base Case
$44.22
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.2
Bear Case
$15.03
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 7:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USNA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert A Fuller
SELL
1058 shares
2026-03-20
Joshua Foukas
SELL
4461 shares
2026-02-20
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