USNA USANA Health Sciences Inc MEDICINAL CHEMICALS & BOTANICAL PRODUCTS

USANA Health Sciences (USNA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$12.73
-0.12 (-0.93%) ▼
5d: -8.15% 30d: -16.63% 90d: -4.79%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$13.71 – $15.11
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.3x STRETCHED
vs 8.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$22.00
+71.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.58 / $15.21
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: USNA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.24
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: USNA is currently trading at $12.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.71 to $15.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, USNA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+71.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $13.71 - $15.11
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.9%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $13.71 - $15.11
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $12.58
Resistance Level $15.21
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 71.2% below Wall St target ($22.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.3% growth with -3.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.28
Wall Street Target $22.00 (+71.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -16.6%
Profit Margin -2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.3% premium
PE vs Historical 10.3 vs 8.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.92 (+8%)
2-Year Target $15.07 (+17%)
3-Year Target $16.32 (+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→8) PE COMPRESSION $12.86 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 127.3%) $83.78 (+552%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 127.3%) $43.37 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 8.1, Growth: 127.3%) $34.17 (+166%)
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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