US Physical Therapy (USPH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USPH - US Physical Therapy Inc
$78.72
1.01 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
+0.1%
30d:
-3.94%
90d:
+19.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: USPH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: USPH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.00
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.10
1.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USPH is currently trading at $78.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.15 to $80.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.3) is in line with its historical norms (23.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USPH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+20.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USPH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+20.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$77.15 -
$80.42
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.7% below Wall St target ($95.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.15 -
$80.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.97
Resistance Level
$80.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.27
Wall Street Target
$95.00
(+20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.5%
Profit Margin
4.0%
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 23.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.72
(0%)
2-Year Target
$78.72
(0%)
3-Year Target
$78.72
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$78.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 16.9%)
$125.75
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.9%)
$108.99
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 16.9%)
$92.64
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 25.51 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.09
Bull Case
$95.05
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$78.72
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$60.22
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USPH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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