Veracyte (VCYT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VCYT - Veracyte, Inc.
$46.22
1.43 (3.19%)
â˛
5d:
+6.23%
30d:
+6.6%
90d:
-20.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VCYT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VCYT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.05
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VCYT is currently trading at $46.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.22 to $45.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.8) is in line with its historical norms (23.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VCYT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.42 (+26.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VCYT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.42 (+26.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$41.22 -
$45.81
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VCYT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($58.42)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.22 -
$45.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.22
Resistance Level
$46.43
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.76
Wall Street Target
$58.42
(+26.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
288.9%
Profit Margin
20.4%
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 23.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.22
(0%)
2-Year Target
$46.22
(0%)
3-Year Target
$46.22
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â24)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 1.7%)
$48.67
(+5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.7%)
$40.68
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 1.7%)
$34.58
(-25%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.40
Bull Case
$68.46
(+48%)
Analyst growth 39.0%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case
$62.24
(+35%)
Market implied 39.0%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$30.46
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 10:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VCYT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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