VERX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VERX - Vertex, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.98
0.60 (4.85%)
▲
5d:
+1.01%
30d:
+1.49%
90d:
+20.19%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VERX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VERX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.12
41.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VERX is currently trading at $12.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.31 to $13.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.46, while resistance sits at $14.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: VERX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+38.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.46, while resistance sits at $14.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: VERX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+38.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.31 -
$13.29
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.7% below Wall St target ($18.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.31 -
$13.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.46
Resistance Level
$14.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.49
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+38.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
-0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 17.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.68
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.51
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.46
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→18)
$13.33
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.0%)
$48.55
(+274%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 29.0%)
$27.84
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 29.0%)
$23.67
(+82%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$18.29
(+40.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VERX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Eric C Andersen
BUY
40000 shares
2026-02-20
Jeffrey Westphal
BUY
150000 shares
2026-02-17
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