Vertex (VERX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.84
+0.54 (+3.12%)
▲
5d:
+16.91%
30d:
+38.29%
90d:
+45.04%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect VERX Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$12.77 – $16.16
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.2x
FAIR
vs 15.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$20.85
+16.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$14.31 / $18.53
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VERX is 10.4% above its trading range ($16.16). Market expects 2.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.04
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.65
4.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VERX is currently trading at $17.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.77 to $16.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.31, while resistance sits at $18.53. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: VERX scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.85 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.31, while resistance sits at $18.53. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: VERX scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.85 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.77 -
$16.16
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$12.77 -
$16.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$14.31
Resistance Level
$18.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
VERX is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.85)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 11.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.15
Wall Street Target
$20.85
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.29
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$18.74
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$19.21
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.7%)
$37.21
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 21.7%)
$32.14
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 21.7%)
$27.32
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 12.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.39
Bull Case
$21.24
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$17.59
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$13.46
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VERX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Vertex reported Q3 earnings with revenue of $213.28 million, up 11% YoY, and EPS of $0.26, surpassing consensus estimates. Key metrics such as Annual Recurring Revenue, Net Revenue Retention Rate, Revenues- Services, and Revenues- Software subscriptions all exceeded estimates.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings Beat
Positive Metrics
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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