VERX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VERX - Vertex, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.91
0.31 (2.46%)
▲
5d:
+8.76%
30d:
+3.12%
90d:
+4.37%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VERX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VERX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.49
39.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VERX is currently trading at $12.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.39 to $13.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.85, while resistance sits at $13.67.
Market Sentiment: VERX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.46 (+35.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.85, while resistance sits at $13.67.
Market Sentiment: VERX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.46 (+35.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$11.39 -
$13.10
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($17.46)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.39 -
$13.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.85
Resistance Level
$13.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.42
Wall Street Target
$17.46
(+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
-0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 17.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.62
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.46
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.41
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→17)
$12.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 29.0%)
$46.21
(+258%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 29.0%)
$27.69
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 29.0%)
$23.54
(+82%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 17.1
Stabilization Target:
$17.77
(+37.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VERX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Eric C Andersen
BUY
40000 shares
2026-02-20
Jeffrey Westphal
BUY
150000 shares
2026-02-17
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Advanced VERX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VERX price and gamma walls.
