Vertex (VERX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VERX - Vertex, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$14.67
0.35 (2.44%)
▲
5d:
+15.15%
30d:
+24.43%
90d:
+34.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VERX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VERX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.17
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.36
24.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VERX is currently trading at $14.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.65 to $13.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VERX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.08 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VERX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.08 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.65 -
$13.37
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Protect Your Profits
VERX is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.08)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.65 -
$13.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.30
Resistance Level
$14.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.36
Wall Street Target
$17.08
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.17
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$13.69
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$13.22
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$14.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.3%)
$38.98
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 24.3%)
$28.18
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 24.3%)
$23.95
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.02 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.46
Bull Case
$17.71
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$14.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$11.22
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$16.25
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VERX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VERX price and gamma walls.
