Vertex (VERX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VERX - Vertex, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.26
-0.01 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
-11.03%
30d:
-0.33%
90d:
+1.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VERX is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VERX is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.44
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.14
39.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VERX is currently trading at $12.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.34 to $13.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VERX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.15 (+39.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VERX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.15 (+39.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.34 -
$13.86
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VERX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($17.15)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.34 -
$13.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.05
Resistance Level
$14.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.99
Wall Street Target
$17.15
(+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 16.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.93
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→17)
$12.30
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.4%)
$39.69
(+224%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 24.4%)
$23.60
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 24.4%)
$20.06
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.57 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.16
Bull Case
$14.80
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.1
Base Case
$12.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$9.38
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$16.87
(+37.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VERX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VERX price and gamma walls.
