Vertex (VERX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VERX - Vertex, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.30
0.52 (4.41%)
â˛
5d:
+5.31%
30d:
-11.06%
90d:
-4.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VERX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VERX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.85
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.78
37.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VERX is currently trading at $12.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.74 to $13.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: VERX scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.15 (+39.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: VERX scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.15 (+39.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.74 -
$13.68
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VERX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 39.5% below Wall St target ($17.15)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.74 -
$13.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.78
Resistance Level
$12.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.03
Wall Street Target
$17.15
(+39.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 16.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.14
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$10.10
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$9.15
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â16)
$12.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 24.4%)
$40.15
(+226%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 24.4%)
$23.68
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 24.4%)
$20.12
(+64%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.02 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.23
Bull Case
$14.85
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$12.30
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$9.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$16.56
(+34.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VERX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VERX price and gamma walls.
