What is the fair value of VG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for VG to be between $12.58 and $14.10. The current price is $12.85.

What is the analyst price target for VG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for VG is $17.22. This implies a potential upside of 34.0% from current levels.

Venture Global (VG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VG - Venture Global, Inc.

NATURAL GAS DISTRIBUTION

$12.85

0.24 (1.90%) ▲

5d: -3.17%

30d: -0.46%

90d: -15.24%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your VG Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 10, 2026 18d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 20, 2026 at $12.70 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: VG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -25.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -29.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$14.99

Based on -12.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$9.31

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VG is currently trading at $12.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.58 to $14.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (25.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 25.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 264.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.76, while resistance sits at $13.88.

Market Sentiment: VG scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.22 (+34.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $12.58 - $14.10

Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 34.0% below Wall St target ($17.22)
WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.58 - $14.10

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.76

Resistance Level $13.89

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.38

Wall Street Target $17.22 (+34.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 47.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 264.3%

Profit Margin 22.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -25.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 10.4 vs 25.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -25.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.56 (-10%)

2-Year Target $10.41 (-19%)

3-Year Target $9.37 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→25) $22.93 (+79%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -29.4%) $17.93 (+40%)

Base: (SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: -29.4%) $9.37 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 8.8, Growth: -29.4%) $7.96 (-38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 9.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27

Bull Case $13.53 (+5%)

Analyst growth -2.5%, PE expands to 10.9

Base Case $12.30 (-4%)

Market implied -2.5%, PE stable at 9.9

Bear Case $8.57 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 25.4

Stabilization Target: $31.46 (+144.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +144.8%

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM

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