Is VG stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, VG is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of VG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for VG to be between $13.39 and $14.89. The current price is $15.87.

What is the analyst price target for VG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for VG is $16.61. This implies a potential upside of 7.2% from current levels.

Venture Global (VG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VG - Venture Global, Inc.

NATURAL GAS DISTRIBUTION

$15.87

0.37 (2.41%) ▲

5d: +9.63%

30d: +15.7%

90d: +24.5%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your VG Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 11, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 31, 2026 at $14.57 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -40.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$8.18

Based on -18.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$5.08

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VG is currently trading at $15.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.39 to $14.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (27.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 264.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: VG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $13.39 - $14.89

Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 19.0%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.6% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.61)
WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.39 - $14.89

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.89

Resistance Level $15.93

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 10, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.54

Wall Street Target $16.61 (+7.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 47.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 264.3%

Profit Margin 22.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -17.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 15.5 vs 27.3 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -17.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $13.95 (-10%)

2-Year Target $12.56 (-19%)

3-Year Target $11.30 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→27) $19.85 (+28%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -40.8%) $14.67 (+-5%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: -40.8%) $11.30 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 13.2, Growth: -40.8%) $9.60 (-38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 11.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37

Bull Case $12.24 (-21%)

Analyst growth -27.2%, PE expands to 12.3

Base Case $11.13 (-28%)

Market implied -27.2%, PE stable at 11.2

Bear Case $10.40 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 27.3

Stabilization Target: $27.23 (+75.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +75.7%

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 1:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Jonathan W Thayer SELL 111111 shares 2026-04-21

Jonathan W Thayer SELL 111112 shares 2026-04-20

Jonathan W Thayer SELL 2611111 shares 2026-03-19

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