Virco Mfg. (VIRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIRC - Virco Mfg. Corporation
$6.82
0.31 (4.76%)
▲
5d:
+4.92%
30d:
+12.73%
90d:
+11.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VIRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VIRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.61
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIRC is currently trading at $6.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.07 to $6.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: VIRC scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: VIRC scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.07 -
$6.56
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.70)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with -5.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.07 -
$6.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.40
Resistance Level
$7.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.35
Wall Street Target
$6.70
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.4%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.62
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.73
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$6.85
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.9%)
$21.10
(+224%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 9.9%)
$8.63
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$7.34
(+13%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 05, 2026 3:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Douglas A Virtue
BUY
11678 shares
2026-04-15
Robert R Lind
BUY
500 shares
2026-04-15
Douglas A Virtue
BUY
4349 shares
2026-04-14
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