VIRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIRC - Virco Mfg. Corporation
$6.16
-0.20 (-3.14%)
▼
5d:
-2.99%
30d:
+1.99%
90d:
+9.61%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VIRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VIRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.61
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIRC is currently trading at $6.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.02 to $6.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$6.02 -
$6.42
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.02 -
$6.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.44
Resistance Level
$6.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.90
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.7%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.15
(0%)
2-Year Target
$6.14
(0%)
3-Year Target
$6.12
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$6.13
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$22.52
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$8.17
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$6.94
(+13%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$6.16
(+0.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Douglas A Virtue
BUY
11678 shares
2026-04-15
Robert R Lind
BUY
500 shares
2026-04-15
Douglas A Virtue
BUY
4349 shares
2026-04-14
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