Virco Mfg. (VIRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIRC - Virco Mfg. Corporation
$6.29
0.02 (0.32%)
▲
5d:
-2.78%
30d:
-4.12%
90d:
+4.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VIRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VIRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.72
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIRC is currently trading at $6.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.35 to $6.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.35 -
$6.60
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.70)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -5.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.35 -
$6.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.14
Resistance Level
$6.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.06
Wall Street Target
$6.70
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.4%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.32
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$6.34
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$6.37
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$20.54
(+227%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$8.34
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$7.09
(+13%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 26, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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