Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VNO - Vornado Realty Trust

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$32.89
-0.22 (-0.66%) ▼
5d: +1.7%
30d: -6.77%
90d: -15.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026 10d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.86
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.74
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VNO is currently trading at $32.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.08 to $34.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 106.1) compared to its historical average (119.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VNO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VNO scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.23 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $33.08 - $34.75
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 88.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.23)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.08 - $34.75
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.04
Resistance Level $34.50
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 106.10
Wall Street Target $39.23 (+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -97.8%
Profit Margin 3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 106.1 vs 119.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.64 (-4%)
2-Year Target $30.44 (-8%)
3-Year Target $29.28 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 106→119) $32.93 (+0%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 57.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.58
Bull Case $39.71 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 60.0
Base Case $32.89 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 57.1
Bear Case $25.16 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 51.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 106.1 to 119.3
Stabilization Target: $36.98 (+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.4%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced VNO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VNO price and gamma walls.

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