Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNO - Vornado Realty Trust
$32.89
-0.22 (-0.66%)
▼
5d:
+1.7%
30d:
-6.77%
90d:
-15.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.86
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNO is currently trading at $32.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.08 to $34.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 106.1) compared to its historical average (119.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VNO scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.23 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VNO scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.23 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.08 -
$34.75
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.23)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.08 -
$34.75
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.04
Resistance Level
$34.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
106.10
Wall Street Target
$39.23
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.8%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
106.1 vs 119.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.64
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$30.44
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$29.28
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 106→119)
$32.93
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 57.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.58
Bull Case
$39.71
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 60.0
Base Case
$32.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 57.1
Bear Case
$25.16
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 51.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 106.1 to 119.3
Stabilization Target:
$36.98
(+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced VNO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VNO price and gamma walls.