VNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNO - Vornado Realty Trust
$38.31
-0.04 (-0.10%)
▼
5d:
-5.87%
30d:
+0.08%
90d:
+41.05%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VNO trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: VNO trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.76
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNO is currently trading at $38.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.84 to $39.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 153.2) compared to its historical average (114.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$36.84 -
$39.59
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VNO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($36.31)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.1% growth expectation is conservative given 1264% recent growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.84 -
$39.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.73
Resistance Level
$38.81
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
153.24
Wall Street Target
$36.31
(-5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1263.5%
Profit Margin
42.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.1% premium
PE vs Historical
153.2 vs 114.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.18
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$46.44
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$51.13
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 153→115)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.65
Bull Case
$21.09
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$19.17
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$26.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced VNO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VNO price and gamma walls.
