VNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNO - Vornado Realty Trust
$39.39
-0.76 (-1.89%)
▼
5d:
-0.83%
30d:
-1.67%
90d:
+31.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.76
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNO is currently trading at $39.39, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.32 to $40.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 157.6) compared to its historical average (119.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.20, while resistance sits at $41.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.20, while resistance sits at $41.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.32 -
$40.26
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.85)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.8% growth expectation is conservative given 1264% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.32 -
$40.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.20
Resistance Level
$41.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
157.56
Wall Street Target
$38.85
(-1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1263.5%
Profit Margin
42.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.8% premium
PE vs Historical
157.6 vs 119.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.25
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$47.49
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$52.14
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 158→119)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.65
Bull Case
$22.08
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$20.07
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$27.30
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced VNO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VNO price and gamma walls.
