Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNO - Vornado Realty Trust
$33.56
-0.32 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
-2.39%
30d:
-8.43%
90d:
-17.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VNO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VNO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.86
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNO is currently trading at $33.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.03 to $37.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 108.3) compared to its historical average (120.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VNO scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.92 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VNO scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.92 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.03 -
$37.53
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VNO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.03 -
$37.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.05
Resistance Level
$36.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
108.26
Wall Street Target
$39.92
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.8%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
108.3 vs 120.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.39
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$31.25
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$30.16
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 108→120)
$33.51
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 57.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.59
Bull Case
$40.52
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 60.0
Base Case
$33.56
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 57.1
Bear Case
$25.67
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 51.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 108.3 to 120.3
Stabilization Target:
$37.29
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced VNO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VNO price and gamma walls.
