VTEX (VTEX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTEX - VTEX
$3.65
-0.05 (-1.35%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.11%
30d:
+1.39%
90d:
-11.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Get Alerted When VTEX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VTEX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VTEX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.03
27.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTEX is currently trading at $3.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.57 to $3.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 262.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTEX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.54, while resistance sits at $3.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.57 (+52.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTEX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.54, while resistance sits at $3.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.57 (+52.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.57 -
$3.66
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.6% below Wall St target ($5.57)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.57 -
$3.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.54
Resistance Level
$3.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.24
Wall Street Target
$5.57
(+52.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
262.5%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.50
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$3.35
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$3.21
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â15)
$3.66
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 26.2%)
$11.31
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 26.2%)
$7.34
(+101%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 26.2%)
$6.24
(+71%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.17
Bull Case
$6.60
(+81%)
Analyst growth 62.2%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$6.00
(+64%)
Market implied 62.2%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$2.52
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$4.16
(+14.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VTEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Carmo Thomaz Junior GeraâĻ
SELL
4808 shares
2026-04-20
De Faria Mariano Gomide
SELL
4808 shares
2026-04-20
Andre Spolidoro FerreiraâĻ
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-16
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HUBS
HubSpot Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$250 | 69 BUY |
|
NOW
ServiceNow Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$145 | 62 BUY |
|
ADSK
Autodesk Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$309 | 66 BUY |
|
TEAM
Atlassian Corp Plc |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$204 | 46 HOLD |
|
GRAB
Grab Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$6 | 48 HOLD |
