VTEX (VTEX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3.94
+0.04 (+1.03%)
▲
5d:
-2.23%
30d:
-2.96%
90d:
+5.35%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$3.89 – $4.15
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.3x
FAIR
vs 15.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.52
+40.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.71 / $4.25
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VTEX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.83
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.24
7.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTEX is currently trading at $3.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.89 to $4.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTEX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.71, while resistance sits at $4.25.
Market Sentiment: VTEX scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.52 (+40.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTEX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.71, while resistance sits at $4.25.
Market Sentiment: VTEX scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.52 (+40.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$3.89 -
$4.15
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.89 -
$4.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$3.71
Resistance Level
$4.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($5.52)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.29
Wall Street Target
$5.52
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.1%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.88
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$3.81
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$3.75
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$3.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.3%)
$8.84
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 17.3%)
$6.36
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 17.3%)
$5.41
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.15
Bull Case
$7.89
(+100%)
Analyst growth 83.8%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$7.17
(+82%)
Market implied 83.8%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$2.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$4.14
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VTEX)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 26, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits was flooded with bullish sentiment towards $VTEX with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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