Bristow Group (VTOL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VTOL - Bristow Group Inc.

AIR TRANSPORTATION, NONSCHEDULED
$42.70
-0.05 (-0.12%) ▼
5d: -2.29%
30d: -7.03%
90d: -0.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VTOL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.54
12.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VTOL is currently trading at $42.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.93 to $46.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VTOL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $42.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VTOL scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.33 (+50.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $43.93 - $46.51
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 10th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 50.7% below Wall St target ($64.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 9.4% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $43.93 - $46.51
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.90 (6.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.04
Resistance Level $46.09
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.30
Wall Street Target $64.33 (+50.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -34.6%
Profit Margin 6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium
PE vs Historical 8.3 vs 7.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.68 (+2%)
2-Year Target $44.69 (+5%)
3-Year Target $45.71 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $42.98 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 48.0%) $336.76 (+689%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 48.0%) $138.52 (+224%)
Bear: (PE: 7.1, Growth: 48.0%) $117.74 (+176%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case $70.36 (+65%)
Analyst growth 49.6%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case $63.96 (+50%)
Market implied 49.6%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case $29.07 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lorin L Brass SELL 1000 shares 2026-03-23

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Advanced VTOL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VTOL price and gamma walls.

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