Waters (WAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WAT - Waters Corp

LABORATORY ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENTS
$457.47
14.64 (3.31%) ▲
5d: +4.78%
30d: +7.45%
90d: +19.63%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$578.01
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$358.90
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WAT is currently trading at $457.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $422.18 to $441.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.7) compared to its historical average (23.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $459.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $422.18 - $441.86
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 3th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($464.30)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with 113.4% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $422.18 - $441.86
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$24.72 (5.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $421.61
Resistance Level $459.63
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.68
Wall Street Target $464.30 (+1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 113.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.1%
Profit Margin 3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.1% premium
PE vs Historical 27.7 vs 23.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $485.38 (+6%)
2-Year Target $514.98 (+13%)
3-Year Target $546.40 (+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→23) PE COMPRESSION $455.98 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.7, Growth: 13.4%) $666.38 (+46%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.4%) $478.11 (+5%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.4%) $406.39 (-11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 24.75 | Forward EPS (Implied): $18.48
Bull Case $552.40 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.0
Base Case $457.47 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case $349.96 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced WAT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WAT price and gamma walls.

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