Werner Enterprises (WERN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WERN - Werner Enterprises Inc

TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)
$29.18
-0.70 (-2.34%) β–Ό
5d: -12.61%
30d: -15.2%
90d: -31.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: WERN is down 12.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.36
48.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WERN is currently trading at $29.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.35 to $36.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WERN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.07 (+33.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $32.35 - $36.15
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.9% below Wall St target ($39.07)
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $32.35 - $36.15
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.14
Resistance Level $33.72
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.96
Wall Street Target $39.07 (+33.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.3%
Profit Margin -1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.0 vs 22.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $26.26 (-10%)
2-Year Target $23.64 (-19%)
3-Year Target $21.27 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14β†’22) $33.98 (+17%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 159.9%) $140.11 (+380%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 159.9%) $98.48 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: 159.9%) $83.71 (+187%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 22.3
Stabilization Target: $46.61 (+59.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +59.7%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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