WFRD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WFRD - Weatherford International plc Ordinary Shares

OIL & GAS FIELD MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$88.85
-1.07 (-1.19%) ▼
5d: -7.86%
30d: -4.15%
90d: -12.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WFRD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$193.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.35
26.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WFRD is currently trading at $88.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.05 to $95.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WFRD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.92 (+31.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $89.05 - $95.04
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 7th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($116.92)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.9%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $89.05 - $95.04
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$4.59 (5.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $87.24
Resistance Level $99.40
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.59
Wall Street Target $116.92 (+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -71.0%
Profit Margin 7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 14.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $85.56 (-4%)
2-Year Target $82.40 (-7%)
3-Year Target $79.35 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→14) $88.89 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 29.6%) $309.63 (+249%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 29.6%) $193.23 (+118%)
Bear: (PE: 10.7, Growth: 29.6%) $164.24 (+85%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.90
Bull Case $142.49 (+60%)
Analyst growth 44.1%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case $129.54 (+46%)
Market implied 44.1%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case $61.15 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 14.1
Stabilization Target: $99.53 (+12.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.0%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced WFRD Option Strategies

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