Expro Group (XPRO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

XPRO - Expro Group Holdings N.V.

OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
$16.30
0.53 (3.36%) ▲
5d: -2.51%
30d: -7.49%
90d: +13.35%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026 19d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: XPRO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.73
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.46
11.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: XPRO is currently trading at $16.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.39 to $17.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, XPRO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.37, while resistance sits at $17.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: XPRO scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $16.39 - $17.96
Company Quality Score 70/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.75)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 24% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $16.39 - $17.96
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.37
Resistance Level $17.20
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.82
Wall Street Target $17.75 (+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -88.5%
Profit Margin 1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.8 vs 14.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.06 (-2%)
2-Year Target $15.81 (-3%)
3-Year Target $15.58 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) $16.23 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.0%) $41.53 (+155%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 20.0%) $28.14 (+73%)
Bear: (PE: 11.7, Growth: 20.0%) $23.92 (+47%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 12.00 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.36
Bull Case $19.68 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case $16.30 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case $12.47 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 14.4
Stabilization Target: $16.98 (+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.2%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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