YORW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YORW - York Water Co
$30.83
-0.14 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-0.37%
30d:
-1.89%
90d:
+5.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: YORW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: YORW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.98
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YORW is currently trading at $30.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.49 to $31.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $30.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $30.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.49 -
$31.32
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.49 -
$31.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.60
Resistance Level
$32.18
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.70
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(-3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Profit Margin
26.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.47
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$29.99
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$29.51
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$31.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$47.47
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$40.52
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$34.44
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$40.48
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.0%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$36.80
(+19%)
Market implied 19.0%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$21.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$32.55
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YORW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
10
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ashley M Grimm
BUY
12 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
103 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
1052 shares
2026-04-16
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