York Water (YORW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YORW - York Water Co
$31.69
1.13 (3.70%)
▲
5d:
+2.56%
30d:
+2.46%
90d:
+1.8%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: YORW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: YORW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.03
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YORW is currently trading at $31.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.42 to $32.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: YORW scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: YORW scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.42 -
$32.13
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.42 -
$32.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.00
Resistance Level
$31.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.77
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(-2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.0%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 18.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.80
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$29.94
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$29.10
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$31.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.5%)
$53.44
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$45.12
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$38.35
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case
$39.46
(+25%)
Analyst growth 17.4%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$35.87
(+13%)
Market implied 17.4%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$20.78
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$34.40
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YORW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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