YORW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YORW - York Water Co
$29.36
-0.57 (-1.90%)
▼
5d:
-1.9%
30d:
+0.75%
90d:
-11.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: YORW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.0% annual earnings decline despite 32% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: YORW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.0% annual earnings decline despite 32% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.71
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YORW is currently trading at $29.36, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.17 to $29.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: YORW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: YORW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.17 -
$29.79
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.17 -
$29.79
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.06
Resistance Level
$30.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.78
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Profit Margin
26.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.19
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$27.06
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$25.98
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$29.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$50.17
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$38.42
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$32.65
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$39.19
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.0%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$35.63
(+20%)
Market implied 19.0%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$20.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$33.07
(+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YORW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
18
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ashley M Grimm
BUY
12 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
103 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
1052 shares
2026-04-16
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