York Water (YORW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YORW - York Water Co
$33.17
-0.18 (-0.54%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.41%
30d:
+1.94%
90d:
+11.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: YORW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: YORW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.87
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YORW is currently trading at $33.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.27 to $34.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.27 -
$34.36
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($31.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.27 -
$34.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.00
Resistance Level
$34.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.55
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(-6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.0%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.61
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$32.05
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$31.51
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â19)
$33.21
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$54.28
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 12.5%)
$47.23
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 12.5%)
$40.14
(+21%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$43.33
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.1%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$39.39
(+19%)
Market implied 18.1%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$22.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$34.96
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YORW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
9
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ashley M Grimm
BUY
12 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
103 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
1052 shares
2026-04-16
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