YORW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YORW - York Water Co
$30.21
0.71 (2.41%)
▲
5d:
+1.24%
30d:
+1.38%
90d:
-0.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: YORW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: YORW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.46
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YORW is currently trading at $30.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.48 to $30.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$29.48 -
$30.06
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.48 -
$30.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.33
Resistance Level
$30.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.26
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(-0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Profit Margin
26.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.36
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$28.54
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$27.74
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$30.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$49.87
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$39.53
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$33.60
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$38.63
(+28%)
Analyst growth 19.0%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$35.12
(+16%)
Market implied 19.0%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$20.06
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$32.90
(+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YORW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
17
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ashley M Grimm
BUY
12 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
103 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
1052 shares
2026-04-16
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