York Water (YORW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YORW - York Water Co
$30.76
0.80 (2.67%)
▲
5d:
-0.71%
30d:
-9.74%
90d:
-0.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: YORW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: YORW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.59
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.03
4.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YORW is currently trading at $30.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.30 to $34.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.80, while resistance sits at $32.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.80, while resistance sits at $32.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.30 -
$34.20
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.30 -
$34.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.80
Resistance Level
$32.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.28
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.0%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 18.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.56
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$28.41
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$27.30
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$30.86
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$54.90
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$43.80
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$37.23
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$39.42
(+28%)
Analyst growth 19.6%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$35.84
(+17%)
Market implied 19.6%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$20.37
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$34.78
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YORW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
9
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ashley M Grimm
BUY
12 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
103 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
1052 shares
2026-04-16
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