YORW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YORW - York Water Co
$34.03
-0.17 (-0.50%)
▼
5d:
+2.16%
30d:
+9.56%
90d:
+14.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: YORW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: YORW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.87
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YORW is currently trading at $34.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.76 to $32.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: YORW scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: YORW scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.76 -
$32.97
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($31.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.76 -
$32.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.15
Resistance Level
$34.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.90
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(-8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.0%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.43
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$33.03
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$32.64
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$33.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.5%)
$54.01
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 12.5%)
$48.18
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$40.95
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case
$43.08
(+27%)
Analyst growth 17.4%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$39.16
(+15%)
Market implied 17.4%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$22.68
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$34.96
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YORW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
10
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ashley M Grimm
BUY
12 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
103 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
1052 shares
2026-04-16
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