YORW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YORW - York Water Co
$30.97
0.37 (1.21%)
▲
5d:
+0.58%
30d:
+2.31%
90d:
-4.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: YORW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: YORW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.22
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YORW is currently trading at $30.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.79 to $30.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$29.79 -
$30.79
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.79 -
$30.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.33
Resistance Level
$30.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.70
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(-3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Profit Margin
26.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.44
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$29.93
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$29.42
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$31.08
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$49.87
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$40.52
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$34.44
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$40.07
(+29%)
Analyst growth 19.0%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$36.43
(+18%)
Market implied 19.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$20.81
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$32.72
(+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YORW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
17
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ashley M Grimm
BUY
12 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
103 shares
2026-04-16
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
1052 shares
2026-04-16
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