ACEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACEL - Accel Entertainment, Inc.
$13.01
0.22 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
+11.29%
90d:
+15.54%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACEL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACEL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.20
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACEL is currently trading at $13.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.76 to $12.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACEL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.25, while resistance sits at $14.00.
Market Sentiment: ACEL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+19.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACEL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.25, while resistance sits at $14.00.
Market Sentiment: ACEL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+19.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.76 -
$12.92
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.76 -
$12.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.25
Resistance Level
$14.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.34
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.30
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$13.59
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$13.89
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$30.44
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$18.65
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$15.85
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.60
Bull Case
$22.86
(+76%)
Analyst growth 62.5%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$20.78
(+60%)
Market implied 62.5%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$8.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Derek Harmer
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-13
Gordon Rubenstein
SELL
3766 shares
2026-03-12
Gordon Rubenstein
SELL
172943 shares
2026-03-12
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