ACHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACHC - Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.
$24.99
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-2.0%
30d:
-3.18%
90d:
+5.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.84
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACHC is currently trading at $24.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.70 to $25.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.78, while resistance sits at $26.84.
Market Sentiment: ACHC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.86 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.78, while resistance sits at $26.84.
Market Sentiment: ACHC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.86 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.70 -
$25.80
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.86)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.0% growth with 7.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.70 -
$25.80
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.78
Resistance Level
$26.84
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.29
Wall Street Target
$28.86
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.6%
Profit Margin
-32.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 11.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.74
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$28.61
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$30.61
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$59.54
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 16.0%)
$39.06
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 16.0%)
$31.98
(+28%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 2:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ACHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACHC price and gamma walls.
