ADTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADTN - ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$9.85
-0.30 (-2.96%)
▼
5d:
-15.45%
30d:
-29.44%
90d:
-41.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
6d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
Get Alerted When ADTN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ADTN is down 15.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ADTN is down 15.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.37
43.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADTN is currently trading at $9.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.55 to $14.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADTN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $9.26, while resistance sits at $13.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+98.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADTN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $9.26, while resistance sits at $13.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+98.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.55 -
$14.55
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 98.0% below Wall St target ($19.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.55 -
$14.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.26
Resistance Level
$13.44
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.96
Wall Street Target
$19.50
(+98.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.0%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.87
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.98
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.18
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→19)
$10.47
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 34.3%)
$38.29
(+289%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 34.3%)
$23.85
(+142%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 34.3%)
$20.27
(+106%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.36
(+45.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 27, 2026 7:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ADTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Communication Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Communication Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CSCO
Cisco Systems Inc |
BUY
26 analysts |
$130 | 47 HOLD |
|
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$1105 | 57 HOLD |
|
ZBRA
Zebra Technologies Corpo… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$333 | 52 HOLD |
|
CIEN
Ciena Corp |
BUY
16 analysts |
$566 | 54 HOLD |
|
MSI
Motorola Solutions Inc |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$507 | 46 HOLD |
