AEBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEBI - Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock
$12.89
-0.08 (-0.62%)
▼
5d:
-1.53%
30d:
+4.46%
90d:
+10.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEBI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEBI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.94
31.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEBI is currently trading at $12.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.92 to $13.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.46, while resistance sits at $13.83.
Market Sentiment: AEBI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+16.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEBI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.46, while resistance sits at $13.83.
Market Sentiment: AEBI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+16.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.92 -
$13.27
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.92 -
$13.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.46
Resistance Level
$13.83
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.55
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
82.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.0%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 11.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.09
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$11.34
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$10.64
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$12.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 87.5%)
$94.45
(+633%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 87.5%)
$43.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 87.5%)
$36.98
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.27 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.67
Bull Case
$15.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$12.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$9.86
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$15.66
(+21.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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