AFYA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AFYA - Afya Limited Class A Common Shares
$14.33
0.45 (3.24%)
▲
5d:
+3.54%
30d:
+4.14%
90d:
+1.7%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AFYA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite extended pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AFYA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite extended pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.88
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AFYA is currently trading at $14.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.65 to $14.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.4) is in line with its historical norms (1.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AFYA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AFYA scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.76 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AFYA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AFYA scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.76 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.65 -
$14.25
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.76)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.65 -
$14.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.22
Resistance Level
$14.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.41
Wall Street Target
$16.76
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
20.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.4 vs 1.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.32
(0%)
2-Year Target
$14.30
(0%)
3-Year Target
$14.29
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.17
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.4%)
$238.82
(+1567%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.4, Growth: 5.4%)
$16.79
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.2, Growth: 5.4%)
$14.28
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.66
Bull Case
$30.54
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$27.76
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case
$9.44
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AFYA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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2026-04-17
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SELL
16279 shares
2026-04-09
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