AFYA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AFYA - Afya Limited Class A Common Shares
$14.39
0.19 (1.30%)
â˛
5d:
+3.12%
30d:
+2.09%
90d:
-5.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AFYA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AFYA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.35
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AFYA is currently trading at $14.38, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.96 to $14.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.4) is in line with its historical norms (1.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AFYA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $14.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AFYA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.61 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AFYA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $14.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AFYA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.61 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$13.96 -
$14.44
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.61)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.96 -
$14.44
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.45
Resistance Level
$14.79
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.38
Wall Street Target
$16.61
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.4 vs 1.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.06
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.92
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$13.78
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1â1)
$13.96
(-2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$318.93
(+2146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$20.23
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$17.19
(+21%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.63
Bull Case
$30.95
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$28.14
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$9.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.4 to 1.4
Stabilization Target:
$14.39
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AFYA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Santos Welder Ferreira
SELL
3325 shares
2026-04-17
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SELL
14000 shares
2026-04-13
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SELL
16279 shares
2026-04-09
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