ALB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALB - Albemarle Corporation
$118.71
1.07 (0.91%)
▲
5d:
+2.18%
30d:
-12.43%
90d:
-38.77%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -41.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -41.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.79
Based on -34.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALB is currently trading at $118.71, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.60 to $132.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (47.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 41.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $111.55, while resistance sits at $123.31.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $187.16 (+57.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $111.55, while resistance sits at $123.31.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $187.16 (+57.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$116.60 -
$132.34
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.7% below Wall St target ($187.16)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.60 -
$132.34
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.55
Resistance Level
$123.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.52
Wall Street Target
$187.16
(+57.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.2%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-41.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 47.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-41.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.84
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$96.16
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$86.54
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→47)
$430.85
(+263%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -72.1%)
$252.92
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: -72.1%)
$116.16
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: -72.1%)
$98.74
(-17%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 47.4
Stabilization Target:
$591.01
(+397.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+397.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 8:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J Kent Masters
SELL
11783 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced ALB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALB price and gamma walls.