ALB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ALB - Albemarle Corporation

PLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS
$149.98
-6.71 (-4.28%) ▼
5d: -11.2%
30d: -11.72%
90d: -10.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your ALB Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 9.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$607.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$377.40
60.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ALB is currently trading at $149.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.04 to $175.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (55.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 39.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $146.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: ALB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $214.65 (+37.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $157.04 - $175.44
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 37.0% below Wall St target ($214.65)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.2%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $157.04 - $175.44
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $146.76
Resistance Level $174.33
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.55
Wall Street Target $214.65 (+37.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -66.2%
Profit Margin -4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -39.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 55.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -39.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $141.02 (-10%)
2-Year Target $126.92 (-19%)
3-Year Target $114.23 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→55) $504.21 (+222%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 95.8%) $279.81 (+79%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 95.8%) $161.24 (+3%)
Bear: (PE: 10.7, Growth: 95.8%) $137.05 (-13%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 55.4
Stabilization Target: $691.65 (+341.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +341.4%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J Kent Masters SELL 11783 shares 2026-03-10

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