ALMU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALMU - Aeluma, Inc. Common Stock
$14.77
-0.15 (-1.01%)
▼
5d:
-19.82%
30d:
-7.4%
90d:
-36.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALMU is down 19.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALMU is down 19.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALMU is currently trading at $14.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.89 to $17.58.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALMU is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $14.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ALMU scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+106.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALMU is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $14.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ALMU scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+106.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.89 -
$17.58
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 106.5% below Wall St target ($30.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.89 -
$17.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.56
(17.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.60
Resistance Level
$18.90
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-48.43
Wall Street Target
$30.50
(+106.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.6%
Profit Margin
-115.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALMU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan Klamkin
SELL
20000 shares
2026-04-01
Jonathan Klamkin
SELL
50000 shares
2026-03-04
Steven Denbaars
SELL
12500 shares
2026-02-25
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