ALTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALTO - Alto Ingredients, Inc. Common Stock
$5.10
-0.01 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
+5.37%
30d:
+8.51%
90d:
+18.33%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALTO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALTO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.34
Based on -6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALTO is currently trading at $5.10, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.86 to $5.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALTO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.81, while resistance sits at $5.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+76.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALTO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.81, while resistance sits at $5.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+76.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.86 -
$5.59
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 76.1% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.86 -
$5.59
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.81
Resistance Level
$5.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.60
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+76.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.2%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.21
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$5.31
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$5.41
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -17.6%)
$5.56
(+9%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: -17.6%)
$3.73
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: -17.6%)
$3.17
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$5.43
(+6%)
Analyst growth -5.4%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$4.94
(-3%)
Market implied -5.4%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$3.55
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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