ALTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALTO - Alto Ingredients, Inc. Common Stock
$5.11
-0.11 (-2.11%)
▼
5d:
-7.76%
30d:
+12.06%
90d:
+23.73%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALTO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ALTO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.34
Based on -6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALTO is currently trading at $5.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.84 to $5.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALTO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.81, while resistance sits at $5.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+72.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALTO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.81, while resistance sits at $5.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+72.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.84 -
$5.59
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 72.4% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.84 -
$5.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.81
Resistance Level
$5.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.91
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+72.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.2%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.36
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$5.49
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$5.64
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.22
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -17.6%)
$5.56
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: -17.6%)
$3.81
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: -17.6%)
$3.23
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$5.22
(+0%)
Analyst growth -5.4%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$4.75
(-9%)
Market implied -5.4%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$3.41
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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