AMPY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPY - Amplify Energy Corp.
$4.78
-0.04 (-0.83%)
▼
5d:
-0.83%
30d:
+21.32%
90d:
-4.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMPY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMPY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.42
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPY is currently trading at $4.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.83 to $4.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.27, while resistance sits at $5.08.
Market Sentiment: AMPY scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+62.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.27, while resistance sits at $5.08.
Market Sentiment: AMPY scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+62.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.83 -
$4.64
Company Quality Score
26/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.1% below Wall St target ($7.75)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.4% growth expectation is conservative given 167% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.83 -
$4.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.27
Resistance Level
$5.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.12
Wall Street Target
$7.75
(+62.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
167.3%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 9.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.13
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$5.51
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$5.92
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.79
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.51
Bull Case
$4.47
(-7%)
Analyst growth -15.7%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$4.06
(-15%)
Market implied -15.7%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$3.28
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Clint D Coghill
SELL
242489 shares
2026-03-17
Clint D Coghill
SELL
501279 shares
2026-03-16
Clint D Coghill
SELL
256232 shares
2026-03-13
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