Coterra Energy (CTRA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$32.56
-3.07 (-8.62%)
▼
5d:
-8.74%
30d:
-6.73%
90d:
+6.79%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
Protect CTRA Gains
Updated May 6, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (71%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.0x
FAIR
vs 11.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$37.43
+15.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$32.46 / $36.32
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: CTRA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.82
Based on -4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRA is currently trading at $32.56, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTRA scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.43 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTRA scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.43 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
71.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$32.46
Resistance Level
$36.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 6, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTRA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.43)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.7% 5-day decline
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.01
Wall Street Target
$37.43
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Profit Margin
24.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.91
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$31.27
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$30.65
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$32.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -12.2%)
$64.62
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: -12.2%)
$32.44
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -12.2%)
$27.58
(-15%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$34.60
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CTRA)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment towards $CTRA, alongside mentions of $DVN, $USO, and $ET. No recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment towards $CTRA
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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