AMSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMSC - American Superconductor Corp
$29.37
-0.08 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
-3.77%
30d:
-26.43%
90d:
-45.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMSC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMSC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.36
Based on -32.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMSC is currently trading at $29.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.33 to $40.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.8) compared to its historical average (38.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 221.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $26.34, while resistance sits at $34.99.
Market Sentiment: AMSC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.50 (+112.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $26.34, while resistance sits at $34.99.
Market Sentiment: AMSC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.50 (+112.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.33 -
$40.23
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMSC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 112.8% below Wall St target ($62.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.33 -
$40.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.34
Resistance Level
$34.99
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.79
Wall Street Target
$62.50
(+112.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
221.5%
Profit Margin
44.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.8 vs 38.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.84
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$21.48
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→38)
$29.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.8, Growth: -69.5%)
$21.41
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -69.5%)
$15.97
(-46%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -69.5%)
$13.57
(-54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.37
Bull Case
$16.20
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$14.73
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$20.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.8 to 38.0
Stabilization Target:
$40.15
(+36.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David R Oliver Jr
SELL
200 shares
2026-02-24
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Advanced AMSC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMSC price and gamma walls.
