AMSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMSC - American Superconductor Corp
$36.78
-3.75 (-9.25%)
▼
5d:
-21.19%
30d:
-37.36%
90d:
+19.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMSC is down 21.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMSC is down 21.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.36
Based on -32.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMSC is currently trading at $36.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.38 to $55.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.8) compared to its historical average (38.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 221.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $36.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.33 (+77.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $36.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.33 (+77.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.38 -
$55.63
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMSC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 77.6% below Wall St target ($65.33)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -21.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.38 -
$55.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.72
Resistance Level
$53.37
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jun 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.81
Wall Street Target
$65.33
(+77.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
221.5%
Profit Margin
44.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.8 vs 38.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.46
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$34.18
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$32.95
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→39)
$36.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.8, Growth: -69.5%)
$26.81
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -69.5%)
$16.89
(-54%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: -69.5%)
$14.35
(-61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.05
Bull Case
$22.29
(-39%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$20.26
(-45%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$27.56
(-25%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.8 to 38.9
Stabilization Target:
$41.11
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 10, 2026 11:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David R Oliver Jr
SELL
200 shares
2026-02-24
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Advanced AMSC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMSC price and gamma walls.
