AMTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMTX - Aemetis, Inc. (DE) Common Stock

INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS
$2.07
0.15 (7.81%) β–²
5d: +16.95%
30d: +11.89%
90d: -8.0%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AMTX is 14.4% above its trading range ($1.81). Market expects 0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMTX is currently trading at $2.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.52 to $1.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -4.2) compared to its historical average (26.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: AMTX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.38 (+546.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $1.52 - $1.81
Company Quality Score 28/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.4% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 546.1% below Wall St target ($13.38)
  • BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued
  • WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1.52 - $1.81
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.65
Resistance Level $2.10
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -4.20
Wall Street Target $13.38 (+546.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.0%
Profit Margin -26.1%
PE vs Historical -4.2 vs 26.2 CHEAP
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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