APAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APAM - ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$42.26
0.21 (0.50%) ▲
5d: +0.19%
30d: +9.71%
90d: +13.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: APAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.10
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.24
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APAM is currently trading at $42.26, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.21 to $42.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $38.21 - $42.28
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($39.25)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $38.21 - $42.28
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $41.07
Resistance Level $43.35
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.51
Wall Street Target $39.25 (-7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.3%
Profit Margin 24.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.2% premium
PE vs Historical 10.5 vs 9.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.61 (+3%)
2-Year Target $45.01 (+7%)
3-Year Target $46.45 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $42.44 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.1%) $91.19 (+116%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 4.1%) $47.73 (+13%)
Bear: (PE: 8.9, Growth: 4.1%) $40.57 (-4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.13
Bull Case $45.05 (+7%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case $40.96 (-3%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case $28.59 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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