APAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APAM - ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$36.49
-0.13 (-0.35%) ▼
5d: +3.05%
30d: +3.61%
90d: -1.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.40
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.81
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APAM is currently trading at $36.49, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.84 to $36.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: APAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $34.84 - $36.50
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $34.84 - $36.50
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.96
Resistance Level $37.21
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 10, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.11
Wall Street Target $37.00 (+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -7.5%
Profit Margin 23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 9.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.02 (-1%)
2-Year Target $35.55 (-3%)
3-Year Target $35.09 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $36.58 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.1%) $98.39 (+170%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 4.1%) $41.16 (+13%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 4.1%) $34.98 (-4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.09
Bull Case $39.44 (+8%)
Analyst growth -2.1%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case $35.86 (-2%)
Market implied -2.1%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case $24.90 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.5
Stabilization Target: $38.05 (+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.3%
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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