APAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APAM - ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
$35.88
-0.28 (-0.77%)
▼
5d:
+1.13%
30d:
-0.86%
90d:
-0.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APAM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APAM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.94
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APAM is currently trading at $35.88, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.72 to $37.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.37, while resistance sits at $37.49.
Market Sentiment: APAM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.37, while resistance sits at $37.49.
Market Sentiment: APAM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$35.72 -
$37.52
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.72 -
$37.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.37
Resistance Level
$37.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.90
Wall Street Target
$38.00
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.05
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.25
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$33.46
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$35.70
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.2%)
$102.05
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 5.2%)
$41.72
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 5.2%)
$35.46
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.99
Bull Case
$40.17
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$36.52
(+2%)
Market implied 1.0%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$24.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$38.29
(+6.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 6:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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