APAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APAM - ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
$39.24
-0.42 (-1.06%)
▼
5d:
-0.25%
30d:
+15.51%
90d:
+4.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APAM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: APAM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.24
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APAM is currently trading at $39.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.20 to $39.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: APAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: APAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$35.20 -
$39.22
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.20 -
$39.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.07
Resistance Level
$42.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.81
Wall Street Target
$38.25
(-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.7%
Profit Margin
24.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.67
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$40.11
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$40.55
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 3.1%)
$90.85
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 3.1%)
$42.99
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 3.1%)
$36.55
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$42.56
(+9%)
Analyst growth -2.4%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$38.69
(-1%)
Market implied -2.4%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$26.97
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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