APLE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APLE - Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$16.60
-0.01 (-0.06%) ▼
5d: +2.79%
30d: +14.4%
90d: +39.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APLE trades at premium valuation expecting 9.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.84
Based on 3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.22
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APLE is currently trading at $16.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.49 to $16.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.5) compared to its historical average (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: APLE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $14.49 - $16.21
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($15.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.4% growth with 3.1% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $14.49 - $16.21
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.66
Resistance Level $16.88
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.52
Wall Street Target $15.50 (-6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -9.8%
Profit Margin 12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.4% premium
PE vs Historical 23.5 vs 18.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.17 (+9%)
2-Year Target $19.88 (+20%)
3-Year Target $21.75 (+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→18) PE COMPRESSION $16.65 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.5, Growth: 2.3%) $17.81 (+7%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 2.3%) $16.49 (-1%)
Bear: (PE: 18.0, Growth: 2.3%) $13.63 (-18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case $17.92 (+8%)
Analyst growth -3.2%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case $16.29 (-2%)
Market implied -3.2%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case $11.45 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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