APLE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APLE - Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
$16.37
-0.19 (-1.15%)
▼
5d:
-1.27%
30d:
+3.22%
90d:
+31.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APLE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APLE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.26
Based on 3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APLE is currently trading at $16.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.97 to $16.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (18.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.97 -
$16.75
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.61)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.8% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.97 -
$16.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.99
Resistance Level
$17.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.18
Wall Street Target
$15.61
(-4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 18.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.65
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$19.02
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$20.51
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 2.3%)
$17.55
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 2.3%)
$16.49
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 2.3%)
$14.01
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$17.62
(+8%)
Analyst growth -3.2%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$16.02
(-2%)
Market implied -3.2%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$11.26
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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