Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$20.16
+0.48 (+2.44%)
▲
5d:
+8.1%
30d:
+24.21%
90d:
+28.16%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (16%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$16.56 – $18.88
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
25.8x
STRETCHED
vs 20.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$18.22
-9.6% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$17.90 / $20.20
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.99
Based on -2.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APLE is currently trading at $20.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.56 to $18.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.8) compared to its historical average (20.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APLE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APLE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.56 -
$18.88
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
15.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.56 -
$18.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$17.90
Resistance Level
$20.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($18.22)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.7% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.79
Wall Street Target
$18.22
(-9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.7% premium
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 20.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.91
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$23.82
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$25.89
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.18
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: -8.4%)
$15.48
(+-23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -8.4%)
$11.92
(-41%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -8.4%)
$10.13
(-50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.79
Bull Case
$21.42
(+6%)
Analyst growth -1.1%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case
$19.47
(-3%)
Market implied -1.1%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case
$13.38
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (APLE)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 18, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Apple Hospitality REIT's ($APLE) share price has weakened, leading some to question its value. A recent article by Simply Wall St examines the REIT's valuation using discounted cash flows and projects a $17.30 intrinsic value.
Key Retail Themes:
Apple Hospitality REIT's valuation
Hotel sector outlook
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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