Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APLE - Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
$18.25
0.10 (0.55%)
▲
5d:
+8.24%
30d:
+15.29%
90d:
+8.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.27
Based on -0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APLE is currently trading at $18.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.65 to $16.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (19.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $18.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APLE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $18.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APLE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.65 -
$16.95
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
14.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.28)
- BEARISH: Market expects 7.6% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.65 -
$16.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.95
Resistance Level
$18.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.63
Wall Street Target
$17.28
(-4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 19.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.53
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$21.01
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$22.61
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.18
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.6, Growth: -4.8%)
$15.67
(+-14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.8%)
$12.64
(-30%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -4.8%)
$10.74
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$19.52
(+8%)
Analyst growth -0.4%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$17.75
(-2%)
Market implied -0.4%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$12.12
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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