Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APLE - Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
$16.37
0.21 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
+1.61%
30d:
+5.14%
90d:
-1.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.96
Based on 1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APLE is currently trading at $16.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.49 to $16.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.5) compared to its historical average (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APLE scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APLE scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.49 -
$16.33
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.49 -
$16.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.40
Resistance Level
$16.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.52
Wall Street Target
$17.17
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.14
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$17.94
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$18.79
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: -2.0%)
$15.40
(+-6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -2.0%)
$13.95
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -2.0%)
$11.86
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$17.46
(+7%)
Analyst growth -1.8%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$15.88
(-3%)
Market implied -1.8%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$10.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is APLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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