APO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APO - Apollo Global Management, Inc.
$131.78
-3.43 (-2.54%)
▼
5d:
-3.18%
30d:
+0.67%
90d:
+19.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$231.62
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$143.82
8.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APO is currently trading at $131.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.99 to $135.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $128.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: APO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.38 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $128.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: APO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.38 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$127.99 -
$135.36
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($150.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -9.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.99 -
$135.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.72
Resistance Level
$141.73
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.74
Wall Street Target
$150.38
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.3%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.62
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$136.02
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$136.43
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$134.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.5%)
$394.31
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 19.5%)
$230.68
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 19.5%)
$196.08
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.24 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.87
Bull Case
$163.27
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$135.21
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$103.44
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
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