APO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APO - Apollo Global Management, Inc.
$132.69
2.71 (2.08%)
â˛
5d:
-5.73%
30d:
+11.5%
90d:
+1.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $127.44 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: APO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: APO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$245.35
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.34
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APO is currently trading at $132.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.06 to $134.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.74, while resistance sits at $144.33.
Market Sentiment: APO scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $152.84 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.74, while resistance sits at $144.33.
Market Sentiment: APO scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $152.84 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$120.06 -
$134.87
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($152.84)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$120.06 -
$134.87
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.74
Resistance Level
$144.33
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.36
Wall Street Target
$152.84
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.7%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.56
(0%)
2-Year Target
$132.42
(0%)
3-Year Target
$132.29
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â12)
$132.69
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 22.4%)
$395.20
(+198%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 22.4%)
$243.44
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 22.4%)
$206.92
(+56%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.81
Bull Case
$285.96
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.9
Base Case
$259.96
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.3
Bear Case
$88.39
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$133.09
(+0.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
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Advanced APO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APO price and gamma walls.
