ARMK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARMK - ARAMARK
$54.05
0.50 (0.93%)
▲
5d:
-0.28%
30d:
+4.69%
90d:
+34.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARMK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARMK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.48
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARMK is currently trading at $54.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.60 to $54.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$50.60 -
$54.67
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.62)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.60 -
$54.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.79
Resistance Level
$54.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.95
Wall Street Target
$56.63
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
65.2%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 16.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.82
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$60.28
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$63.96
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.4%)
$99.49
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 19.4%)
$91.14
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 19.4%)
$76.29
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case
$117.33
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case
$106.66
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.8
Bear Case
$36.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ARMK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ARMK price and gamma walls.
