ASH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASH - Ashland Inc.
$72.66
-0.16 (-0.22%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.42%
30d:
+9.16%
90d:
+29.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ASH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ASH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.66
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASH is currently trading at $72.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.57 to $74.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASH scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.18 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASH scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.18 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$68.57 -
$74.37
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.8% growth with 7.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.57 -
$74.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.58
Resistance Level
$76.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.86
Wall Street Target
$80.18
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 13.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.33
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$84.44
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$91.02
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$72.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 21.6%)
$155.48
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 21.6%)
$130.61
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 21.6%)
$103.81
(+43%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.57
Bull Case
$160.20
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.0
Base Case
$145.64
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.4
Bear Case
$49.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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