Ashland (ASH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASH - Ashland Inc.
$70.91
0.21 (0.30%)
▲
5d:
-3.13%
30d:
-5.1%
90d:
+8.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASH trades at premium valuation expecting 6.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ASH trades at premium valuation expecting 6.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.46
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASH is currently trading at $70.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.14 to $74.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.75, while resistance sits at $76.02.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.18 (+13.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.75, while resistance sits at $76.02.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.18 (+13.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$72.14 -
$74.79
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.3% growth with 7.3% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.14 -
$74.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.75
Resistance Level
$76.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.49
Wall Street Target
$80.18
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 13.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.38
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$80.13
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$85.17
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$70.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 21.9%)
$157.15
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 21.9%)
$128.46
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 21.9%)
$106.74
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$155.54
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.8
Base Case
$141.40
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.2
Bear Case
$48.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 6:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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