ASH
Ashland Inc.
WHOLESALE-CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS
Ashland (ASH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$75.86
-0.86 (-1.13%)
▼
5d:
-0.56%
30d:
+6.36%
90d:
+2.91%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$69.54 – $74.24
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.8x
STRETCHED
vs 14.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$82.00
+6.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$72.80 / $79.50
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.28
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASH is currently trading at $75.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.54 to $74.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.80, while resistance sits at $79.50.
Market Sentiment: ASH scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.80, while resistance sits at $79.50.
Market Sentiment: ASH scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$69.54 -
$74.24
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$69.54 -
$74.24
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$72.80
Resistance Level
$79.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($82.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.6% growth with 4.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.76
Wall Street Target
$82.00
(+6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.5%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 14.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.55
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$88.82
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$95.58
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.9%)
$159.09
(+107%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 22.9%)
$142.27
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 22.9%)
$113.75
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.30
Bull Case
$92.64
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$76.72
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$58.69
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ASH)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits user with 119 followers predicts $ASH share price will rise to $88-94.
Key Retail Themes:
Price prediction
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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