ASM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASM - Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
$5.88
-0.54 (-8.41%)
▼
5d:
-13.91%
30d:
-11.58%
90d:
+2.08%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ASM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.42
56.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASM is currently trading at $5.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.10 to $7.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 125.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $7.41. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.31 (+92.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $7.41. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.31 (+92.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.10 -
$7.12
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 92.4% below Wall St target ($11.31)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-13.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.10 -
$7.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.45
Resistance Level
$7.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.26
Wall Street Target
$11.31
(+92.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
109.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
125.7%
Profit Margin
32.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.29
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.76
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.29
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→14)
$8.09
(+38%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 68.8%)
$59.54
(+913%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 68.8%)
$19.84
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 68.8%)
$16.87
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.22
Bull Case
$14.12
(+140%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$12.84
(+118%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$4.37
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$11.10
(+88.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+88.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASM showing a specific setup today?
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