ATS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATS - ATS Corporation
$27.77
0.53 (1.95%)
▲
5d:
+4.44%
30d:
+0.33%
90d:
-14.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.79
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.92
10.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATS is currently trading at $27.77, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.74 to $27.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 358.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+26.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+26.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$26.74 -
$27.99
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($35.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.74 -
$27.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.65
Resistance Level
$28.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.15
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
358.0%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 19.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.24
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$26.72
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$26.22
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$27.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 18.5%)
$52.77
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 18.5%)
$46.20
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 18.5%)
$39.27
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.34
Bull Case
$33.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$27.77
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$21.24
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$29.37
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 1:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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