AXTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXTA - Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
$36.20
0.70 (1.97%)
â˛
5d:
-2.98%
30d:
+14.27%
90d:
+24.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When AXTA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AXTA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AXTA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.85
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXTA is currently trading at $36.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.95 to $37.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AXTA scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AXTA scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.95 -
$37.25
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.95 -
$37.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.26
Resistance Level
$37.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.68
Wall Street Target
$38.57
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.0%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.58
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$39.00
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$40.49
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.7%)
$71.62
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 7.7%)
$45.25
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 7.7%)
$38.46
(+6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.63
Bull Case
$68.40
(+89%)
Analyst growth 75.2%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$62.18
(+72%)
Market implied 75.2%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$24.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AXTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-18
Top Rated Specialty Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LIN
Linde plc Ordinary Shares |
BUY
28 analysts |
$547 | 67 BUY |
|
ECL
Ecolab Inc |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$325 | 48 HOLD |
|
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co |
BUY
28 analysts |
$390 | 43 HOLD |
|
APD
Air Products and ChemicaâĻ |
BUY
24 analysts |
$343 | 49 HOLD |
|
DD
Dupont De Nemours Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$170 | 55 HOLD |
