BBVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBVA - Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
$24.61
-0.24 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
+3.27%
30d:
+8.37%
90d:
+14.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BBVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BBVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.45
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBVA is currently trading at $24.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.22 to $23.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$22.22 -
$23.99
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($22.85)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.22 -
$23.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.01
Resistance Level
$25.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.34
Wall Street Target
$22.85
(-8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Profit Margin
33.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.73
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.60
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$24.48
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$24.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.6%)
$65.28
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 7.6%)
$30.98
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 7.6%)
$26.33
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case
$30.68
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.9%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$27.89
(+12%)
Market implied 13.9%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$16.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$25.24
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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