BBVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBVA - Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
$29.21
0.17 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
+1.42%
30d:
+12.56%
90d:
+30.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When BBVA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.93
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBVA is currently trading at $29.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.16 to $28.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $24.53. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $24.53. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.16 -
$28.86
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 16.0% above Wall St target ($24.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.16 -
$28.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.47
Resistance Level
$29.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.77
Wall Street Target
$24.53
(-16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.20
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$31.23
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$32.29
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$55.74
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 3.9%)
$32.72
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 3.9%)
$27.81
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.21
Bull Case
$35.88
(+23%)
Analyst growth 12.3%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$32.61
(+12%)
Market implied 12.3%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$19.75
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BBVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Diversified Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Diversified by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BAC
Bank of America Corp |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$69 | 50 HOLD |
|
C
Citigroup Inc. |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$155 | 59 HOLD |
|
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co |
BUY
25 analysts |
$375 | 54 HOLD |
|
WFC
Wells Fargo & Company |
BUY
24 analysts |
$100 | 52 HOLD |
|
RY
Royal Bank of Canada |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$207 | 47 HOLD |