BHF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHF - Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
$52.57
0.70 (1.35%)
▲
5d:
-1.33%
30d:
-17.54%
90d:
-16.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BHF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BHF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.28
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.57
1.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHF is currently trading at $52.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.11 to $63.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.6) compared to its historical average (3.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1520.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $51.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $51.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$55.11 -
$63.73
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.3% below Wall St target ($65.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.11 -
$63.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.55
Resistance Level
$60.34
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 25, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.58
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(+25.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
86.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1520.6%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.6 vs 3.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.81
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$45.93
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$43.22
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
$52.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$528.89
(+920%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.6, Growth: 9.4%)
$67.94
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.2, Growth: 9.4%)
$57.75
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (4x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 4.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.61
Bull Case
$91.18
(+76%)
Analyst growth 59.7%, PE expands to 4.5
Base Case
$82.89
(+60%)
Market implied 59.7%, PE stable at 4.1
Bear Case
$35.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.6 to 3.1
Stabilization Target:
$62.43
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 26, 2026 1:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:06 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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