BHF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHF - Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
$58.68
-0.86 (-1.44%)
▼
5d:
-3.49%
30d:
-10.4%
90d:
-4.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BHF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BHF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.82
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHF is currently trading at $58.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.10 to $65.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.9) is in line with its historical norms (3.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1520.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BHF scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+10.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BHF scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+10.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.10 -
$65.46
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($65.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.10 -
$65.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.61
Resistance Level
$62.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.92
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
86.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1520.6%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.9 vs 3.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.39
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$56.13
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$54.89
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
$58.22
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.8%)
$523.41
(+792%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$75.62
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.5, Growth: 8.8%)
$64.28
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (5x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 4.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.61
Bull Case
$104.28
(+78%)
Analyst growth 59.2%, PE expands to 5.2
Base Case
$94.80
(+62%)
Market implied 59.2%, PE stable at 4.7
Bear Case
$40.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.9 to 3.1
Stabilization Target:
$62.24
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 1:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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