BNS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNS - Bank of Nova Scotia
$86.19
-0.71 (-0.82%)
▼
5d:
+1.86%
30d:
+8.51%
90d:
+24.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BNS is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BNS is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.94
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNS is currently trading at $86.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.28 to $84.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$78.28 -
$84.09
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
BNS is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($78.79)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.28 -
$84.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.61
Resistance Level
$87.98
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.39
Wall Street Target
$78.79
(-9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.4%
Profit Margin
27.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.38
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$93.99
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$97.75
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.40
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.6%)
$280.10
(+222%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 11.6%)
$120.82
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 11.6%)
$102.69
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.18
Bull Case
$172.21
(+98%)
Analyst growth 78.6%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$156.55
(+80%)
Market implied 78.6%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$59.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BNS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BNS price and gamma walls.
