BNS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNS - Bank of Nova Scotia
$87.77
-0.07 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
+0.89%
30d:
+0.48%
90d:
+12.81%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
22d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BNS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BNS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.83
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNS is currently trading at $87.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.92 to $88.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (8.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$85.92 -
$88.43
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.49)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.92 -
$88.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.79
Resistance Level
$89.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.45
Wall Street Target
$86.49
(-1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.4%
Profit Margin
27.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.84
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$94.02
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$97.31
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.0%)
$270.48
(+208%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 12.0%)
$123.27
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$104.78
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.14
Bull Case
$174.65
(+99%)
Analyst growth 80.7%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$158.77
(+81%)
Market implied 80.7%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$59.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BNS price and gamma walls.