Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNS - Bank of Nova Scotia
$94.00
1.72 (1.86%)
▲
5d:
+4.39%
30d:
-0.06%
90d:
+8.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BNS is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BNS is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.80
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNS is currently trading at $94.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.61 to $93.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNS scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNS scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$89.61 -
$93.64
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BNS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($91.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.61 -
$93.64
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.42
Resistance Level
$94.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.89
Wall Street Target
$91.75
(-2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Profit Margin
28.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.67
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$101.47
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$105.43
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$93.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$260.15
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$129.49
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 11.3%)
$110.07
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.52
Bull Case
$174.86
(+86%)
Analyst growth 72.3%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$158.96
(+69%)
Market implied 72.3%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$62.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BNS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BNS price and gamma walls.
