Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNS - Bank of Nova Scotia
$90.67
-0.17 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
-1.69%
30d:
-0.57%
90d:
+6.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BNS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BNS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.57
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNS is currently trading at $90.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.19 to $94.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $88.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BNS scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $88.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BNS scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$91.19 -
$94.31
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BNS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.74)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.19 -
$94.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.95
Resistance Level
$95.74
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.55
Wall Street Target
$89.74
(-1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Profit Margin
28.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.30
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$96.01
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$98.79
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$91.00
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.3%)
$266.70
(+194%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 11.3%)
$124.89
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$106.16
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.40
Bull Case
$175.63
(+94%)
Analyst growth 75.8%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$159.66
(+76%)
Market implied 75.8%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$61.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Diversified Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Diversified by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BAC
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STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$69 | 52 HOLD |
|
WFC
Wells Fargo & Company |
BUY
24 analysts |
$100 | 50 HOLD |
|
C
Citigroup Inc. |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$155 | 52 HOLD |
|
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co |
BUY
25 analysts |
$375 | 49 HOLD |
|
RY
Royal Bank of Canada |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$209 | 44 HOLD |
Advanced BNS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BNS price and gamma walls.
