BSY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BSY - Bentley Systems, Incorporated Class B Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$28.96
0.09 (0.31%) ▲
5d: -5.14%
30d: -13.14%
90d: -24.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BSY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.15
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.35
22.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BSY is currently trading at $28.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.61 to $33.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (24.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BSY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BSY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.07 (+56.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $30.61 - $33.66
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 56.1% below Wall St target ($45.07)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.1%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $30.61 - $33.66
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.42
Resistance Level $33.52
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.25
Wall Street Target $45.07 (+56.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.5%
Profit Margin 18.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.3 vs 24.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $26.19 (-9%)
2-Year Target $23.75 (-18%)
3-Year Target $21.54 (-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→25) $28.92 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.5%) $51.69 (+79%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 14.5%) $43.30 (+50%)
Bear: (PE: 15.5, Growth: 14.5%) $36.81 (+28%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.87
Bull Case $58.77 (+104%)
Analyst growth 81.9%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case $53.43 (+85%)
Market implied 81.9%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case $19.98 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 24.5
Stabilization Target: $38.76 (+34.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +34.3%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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