BTSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTSG - BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock
$60.47
0.76 (1.26%)
▲
5d:
-16.0%
30d:
-12.41%
90d:
+15.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BTSG is down 16.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BTSG is down 16.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.47
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.73
9.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTSG is currently trading at $60.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.61 to $72.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.3) is in line with its historical norms (27.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 196.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTSG is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $57.95, while resistance sits at $73.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.53 (+29.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTSG is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $57.95, while resistance sits at $73.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.53 (+29.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.61 -
$72.60
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BTSG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.9% below Wall St target ($78.53)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.61 -
$72.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.95
Resistance Level
$73.75
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.28
Wall Street Target
$78.53
(+29.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
196.6%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 27.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.16
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$59.86
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$59.56
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→28)
$60.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 24.8%)
$117.49
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 24.8%)
$89.29
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 24.8%)
$75.90
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 32.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.84
Bull Case
$73.01
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.4
Base Case
$60.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.8
Bear Case
$46.26
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.3 to 27.7
Stabilization Target:
$61.40
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jennifer A Phipps
SELL
35000 shares
2026-03-04
Jon B Rousseau
SELL
220000 shares
2026-03-04
Lisa A Nalley
SELL
30000 shares
2026-03-04
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