BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$31.00
-1.41 (-4.35%)
▼
5d:
-11.07%
30d:
-8.04%
90d:
-2.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.38
Based on -10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $31.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.11 to $36.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 139.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.80, while resistance sits at $36.82. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: BVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.58 (+27.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.80, while resistance sits at $36.82. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: BVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.58 (+27.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$32.11 -
$36.42
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.7% below Wall St target ($39.58)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.11 -
$36.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.80
Resistance Level
$36.82
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.35
Wall Street Target
$39.58
(+27.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
103.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
139.4%
Profit Margin
47.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.45
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$27.98
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$26.58
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$30.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -24.5%)
$52.64
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: -24.5%)
$22.60
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: -24.5%)
$19.21
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.12
Bull Case
$28.84
(-11%)
Analyst growth -19.5%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$26.22
(-19%)
Market implied -19.5%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$22.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$36.14
(+16.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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